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GLREA RPS Position Statement
4/25/2002

Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS)
An RPS is a law compelling energy companies to produce some fixed percentage of the energy they sell from renewable sources. Such laws can greatly aid the renewable energy industry in its early formation and assist in achieving economies of scale. They are most often applied to the electrical utilities, requiring them to use renewable energy sources to generate the electrical energy they sell.

Current Federal Incentives
There are currently a number of Federal incentives in place. Electrical power produced from renewable sources qualifies for a production tax credit of 1.5 cents/kWh. This was recently extended for 2 years, through the end of 2003. Ethanol production currently receives a generous tax credit of about 50 cents per gallon through 2007.

The Economics of Current RE Technologies
The lowest-cost methods of generating electricity from renewable sources are currently hydropower and landfill gas. Existing hydropower is not eligible for RE credits under the Senate RPS bill. Upgrades to existing hydropower are eligible, but this is a very limited resource. Landfill gas is cheap because the gas is produced as an undesirable byproduct of waste disposal and regulations require venting the gas out of the landfill to keep pressure from building up and driving it into area basements. This resource is quite limited, however, and will shrink over time as more biodegradable items are removed from the waste stream prior to land filling.

The next lowest-cost source of renewable electricity is the utility-scale wind farm. Wind turbine systems have strong economies of scale, and over the past 20 years the size of individual turbines has grown twenty fold, from 50-100 KW to 1-2 MW. Building the turbines in large groups in places with exceptional wind speeds reduces operations and maintenance costs. Wind energy generation is highly site specific; a site with twice the average wind speed will generate eight times the electrical energy. In the Midwest, wind generated power doesn't match electrical demand well, since more wind is available at night and in the winter. Electrical demand, driven by air conditioning and industrial loads, peaks on summer afternoons.

The Case for Government Incentives
GLREA strongly favors carefully crafted government incentives for renewable energy production. Incentives for renewable energy are justified because it has societal benefits not captured in the current energy markets:

1) Renewable energy provides significant environmental benefits, including reductions in air pollution, water pollution, and the destruction that fuel extraction entails.

2) Renewable energy reduces our vulnerability to foreign governments, providing more latitude in foreign policy and reducing the need for overseas military commitments and actions.

3) Renewable energy does not require providing capital to nations hostile to the US.

4) Distributed renewable energy systems providing on-site generation to customers do not provide attractive targets for terrorist strikes.

5) Renewable energy is domestic, reducing our trade deficit.

6) Renewable energy produces jobs here in the US rather than exporting them overseas.

7) Renewable energy is growing around the world and the development of a strong domestic industry can position the US for significant exports of these technologies in the future.

8) Many forms of renewable energy are distributed in nature, reducing the need for large-scale power transmission. This is not true of large-scale wind systems.

9) Renewable energy does not require the extraction of irreplaceable fossil resources that should be reserved for higher value uses.

10) Renewable energy prices are not subject to wild swings. Just as having a portion of a financial portfolio in cash or bonds reduces the risk of the entire portfolio, drawing a portion of our energy needs from renewable sources reduces electric energy price volatility.

Senate Bill Under Consideration

What It Says
The Senate Bill would require utility companies (but not government-owned utilities nor rural electric cooperatives) to buy RE credits for a percentage of their total electrical energy sales, with the percentage escalating from 1% in 2005 to 10% in 2020. From 2020-2030, the DOE will decide the RPS percentage, but it must be at least 10%. These credits would be issued to each entity generating electricity from RE sources. The price for these credits will be determined by the mandated demand and whatever supply may arise, but is capped at 3 cents for each credit. RE generation systems get a double credit if they are on Indian lands or if they are on a customer premise and reduce the customer's consumption of utility power. The bill attempts to be technology neutral; all RE sources are treated the same as long as their output is electrical energy. States are free to add further requirements; including specifying that certain amounts of the RE must be from certain technologies (e.g. PVs). Except for the provisions regarding Indian lands and customer-based installations, it is also geography neutral. Utilities can buy the RE credits from any RE generator in the country. The RE credits and the actual electricity can be sold separately. A wind farm in Kansas may sell the electricity to the local utility, and the RE credits to a utility in Florida.

Likely Impacts of This Bill
Because wind energy is currently significantly lower cost than other renewable energy sources such as PVs, this proposal will drive the development of the entire wind energy industry. The 1.5 cent/kWh production tax credit and the ability to sell wind as green energy have already made wind power a rapid growth industry.

From the AWEA (American Wind Energy Association) website:
"Of the new wind power capacity installed last year, nearly 1,700 MW were from wind farms built across the U.S., including more new wind capacity in a single state, Texas (915 MW), than had ever been installed before in the entire country in a single year. Some $3 billion worth of wind power investments (about 3,000 MW) are being proposed or planned for the next several years in the U.S., according to AWEA estimates…[Texas] more than tripled its wind capacity, and would rank sixth among the nations of the world in wind capacity if it were a country, based on one year's development alone."

If this bill passes, there will be a massive wind industry scale up, and the focus of installations will shift from optimum wind sites to good wind sites on a consumer premise (to quality for the double credit). The credit is so generous that the bill may over-stimulate the already rapidly growing wind industry, creating demand faster than the industry can scale up to meet it. As a result, the RE credit price may remain close to the cap of 3 cents/kWh.

Because PV capital costs are significantly higher than utility-scale wind, PVs have difficulty competing for grid-connected power. Selling RE credits under this bill will require metering the output of the RE system. The cost of the metering and reporting requirements may dissuade small PV installations from selling the credits at all.

The bill focuses exclusively on electrical power generation, doing nothing for the solar thermal industry, which cost-effectively reduces fossil fuel consumption.

RE generators are currently marketing their product as green power for sale to ecologically concerned consumers for higher rates. Because this bill mandates RE use, there will be little incentive to continue green power programs.

The utility companies' cost of buying these RE credits will be passed on to electricity consumers. Wholesale electricity currently sells in the range of 1.5-2.5 cents/kWh. If the utilities must buy RE credits for 10% of their electrical sales at 3 cents/kWh, this could raise the wholesale cost of electricity 12-20%. The effect on electrical power service costs would be smaller, since this includes transmission and distribution costs which would be unaffected by the bill

Because strong wind sites are not geographically distributed, the bill will have the affect of collecting money from consumers across the country and transferring it to those regions with strong wind sites. While Michigan has some very good wind sites, they are mostly in the UP or in Lake Michigan itself. The difficulty of transmitting power out of the UP to the population zones of the Lower Peninsula or building wind towers in a lake subject to very destructive ice flows makes it unlikely Michigan will participate in the boom of grid-connected wind-power development.

Suggestions for Improving the Bill
This Bill would provide a powerful incentive for the development of the electrical RE industry, especially large wind systems on customer sites. It provides a long-term (25 years!) commitment to RE. Because its costs are imposed on the utilities/consumers it does not require annual review through the budgetary process. Imposing the costs on consumers rather than taxpayers should encourage conservation. It provides a strong incentive for actual RE production, rather than reducing capital costs of installation. It also provides a flexible, market-based means to price the RE production credits.

While GLREA favors government incentives for RE, there are several policy principles and incentive provisions a renewable energy bill should contain:

1) Any renewable standard should be applicable to all utilities, not just investor-owned. Proposals that exempt municipal utilities as well as Co-ops, create an incentive for energy customers to move or restructure their purchases to these other entities to avoid the RPS requirements.

2) A major problem with respect to wind energy is the lack of adequate transmission capacity. Many areas of the country have encountered local resistance to construction of Extra High Voltage (EHV) transmission lines that have delayed projects for years. Without the construction of these lines, it is not possible to transmit renewable generation from areas where it is most cost-effective to build wind energy. The bill should ensure that the generator locating the facility and not the utilities pays the cost of additional transmission capacity.

3) Companies should receive credit for renewables that have already been installed. When proposals are offered that do not give credit for activities already undertaken, companies that have made significant investments in renewables are punished. This sends the wrong economic signal and discourages companies from making investments prior to passage of government incentives.

4) Fuel cells should be part any renewable measure. (Currently, fuel cells are designated as renewable for mandatory federal purchase requirements only, but not for any other sector.) While fuel cells currently use natural gas that is not renewable, creating a fuel cell infrastructure is a necessary precursor for the future hydrogen economy to be driven by renewable energy sources.

5) This bill's RPS schedule is too much too fast. AWEA predicts that with strong incentives, wind could provide 6% of the US electrical demand by 2020. The DOE's "Wind Powering America" program has a goal of producing 5% of the nation's electricity from wind by 2020. This bill requires 10% renewable electricity by 2020. Any consideration of increasing renewables by a large volume should take into account the shortage of existing construction and engineering resources and skilled labor necessary to meet such renewables requirements. With the nameplate ratings of wind being 2x to 3x that of conventional generation needed to meet the same kilowatt-hour production mandate, the infant U.S. wind equipment manufacturing industry could have a captive market of as much as 20 to 30 percent of the nation's generating capacity by 2020. Can the industry grow fast enough to meet the RPS schedule while maintaining quality? Is there sufficient access to ready capital to make these major changes? Will the mandated demand drive system production to other countries?

6) Credit sales of up to 6 cents per kWh (on Indian lands or on a customer site) are quite generous. The DOE's "Wind Powering the Midwest" document estimates current wind electrical costs in the range of 4-6 cents/kWh today, dropping to 2-3.5 cents/kWh by 2010. Credits of this size combined with the mandatory RPS schedule may push the industry faster than it can grow.

7) The Bill should be expanded to provide incentives for non-electrical RE production. Solar thermal systems, including pool heaters, hot water heating, and space heating are highly effective in saving fossil fuels, especially natural gas. This makes gas available for other uses, including electrical generation. Solar Thermal systems have been proven effective at Demand Side Management (DSM). Since thermal systems do not have a meter, RE credits would be computed based on the FREC rating of the system and the location in which it is installed. Annual certification of its proper operation would be required to have credits issued.

8) We strongly support distributed generation, and would like to see the current double-credit for customer-sited RE systems ("generation offset") increased to a triple credit. This will have the additional effect of reducing the overall cost of the mandate.

9) The price-cap should be reduced gradually over the life of the bill. This will ensure that the industry can make gradual adjustments to the phase-out of incentives and stand on its own two feet. Previous government incentives have created boom and bust cycles in the industry when the incentives were abruptly eliminated.

10) Consideration should be given to the regional effect of this bill. Areas with weaker wind and solar resources may need stronger incentives to encourage nation-wide development. Credits could be multiplied for utility service areas with weak RE resources. This is particularly important for wind, where the variation in resource is very great. High wind resource areas of Class 6 and 7 require no incentive to be developed economically. However, DOE studies indicate that the levelized annual cost of wind energy generated in Class 2 and 3 areas may be about 2.5 to 1.5 cents/kWh above the market price of electricity in 2005 and close to competitively priced by 2010. This approach will assure that renewable energy is developed across the country, not only in regions of high renewable energy resources. It will help assure that funding is available for the development of renewable energy technologies that can operate economically in moderate renewable energy regions.

11) Solar energy should be given greater amount of credits based upon the technology's high capital cost and its importance in achieving a distributed renewable energy supply located at the consumers' point of use. Without adequate incentive, solar energy and its potential for optimizing the fuel cell cycle in hybrid distributed generation applications will go undeveloped in the U.S. Solar energy holds potential for production of hydrogen at the customer's site where it will be needed to power fuel cells. The development of efficient, cost effective distributed solar electric facilities in the U.S. will be an important component of the hydrogen economy, minimizing the need for a national infrastructure to support hydrogen storage and transmission.

12) The high capital cost and low energy production of renewable energy technology (e.g. PVs) can result in property tax effects that approach or exceed the market value of the energy produced. Property tax relief would promote the development of distributed renewable energy facilities.

13) The public benefit of renewable energy should be recognized and promoted through access to funding and tax incentives provided to facilities such as airports and waste treatment plants. This could easily be accomplished by adding Renewable Energy systems under section 142 of the IRS code. This could provide up to a 30% reduction in the interest expense associated with renewable energy and eliminate the need to provide renewable energy credits in most situations involving wind energy projects that are within 2 cents/kWh of competitive prices.


Great Lakes Renewable Energy Association
URL: www.glrea.org
Email: info@glrea.org
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